I don’t understand how the rankings work though, they don’t seem to follow anything. Spread Love It’s The Nashville Way Shirt. At first glance, it seems like an expected power ranking for the season with some slight changes off recent performance but then you notice how high Carolina is. Edit: let me rephrase. Why are some teams boosted off their records but other teams aren’t? Why are the Jets so much higher than Buffalo despite having the same record? If Carolina is boosted for their record then you’d assume it would transfer to other teams as well and some would move up and down more than they have. Carolina is leading the Metro right now. Whether the Canes keep up said momentum or regress is undetermined right now.
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This isn’t me saying Carolina doesn’t deserve to be there. Spread Love It’s The Nashville Way Shirt. This is me asking why other teams aren’t rising or dropping based off performance. Doesn’t seem relative to me. So I can give you some insight into my process and you can decide for yourself if that’s a fair way of doing it. My initial rankings were based on advanced statistical models of predicted points shares for the season. From there I’ve been moving people based on points shares in the given week. 1-2 spots upper win/tie, 1-2 spots down per loss. Teams that go on winning or losing streaks go up and down more spots that week. As in, they are based on team performance every week. And I never said that they should be ranked #1, so don’t put words in my mouth. I just don’t see how San Jose ranks above New Jersey.
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I’m a ranker as well. Spread Love It’s The Nashville Way Shirt. I rank heavily on Last 10 and “strength of schedule” and like “intensity of wins”. I always want my rankings to reflect stuff that is going on right now. If the 31st ranked team in the standings just won 6 games in a row, then they should be ranked pretty high. If I wanted to see them at the bottom I’d just sort the standings by points. Plus the first few weeks are pretty rough. Tampa has only played 3 games so far but Carolina has played 6 so they’ve had more stuff to sway rankings. Or like in Florida’s case they’ve lost all three of their games and that’s all I’ve got to go on. I agree with you about preseason being pointless and not worth factoring into rankings before the start of a season, but I’d disagree with rankings before the start of the season is useless.
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I’d argue that offseason rankings can translate decently into the actual season (most teams being within 3 spots of where they started. Spread Love It’s The Nashville Way Shirt. And that the bad reputation comes from 5 or 6 teams being complete surprises and stealing the headlines. 5 games at the start of a season are too small of a sample size to really mean anything, so you have to be going in with some basis or preconceived rankings. It makes the most sense to have post-season performance as this basis. Not how it works. Sure they’re hot right now. They even moved up two spots. Yes, they are based on weekly performance but that week’s performance is not the end all be all. It’s just common sense.