The 2020 election will Beto Orourke Hell Yes We’re Going To Take Your Ar-15 Shirt from the 2016 election, for sure. For example, Trump will be an incumbent, which usually incurs a benefit. Trump will also have lost much of his outsider mystique. Suffice to say, it’s so far looking as though there will be many toss-up states, with lots of electoral college votes up for grabs. I don’t see how a brokered convention changes this. A brokered convention in 2020 probably won’t change the scenario much. The close result in 2016 happened despite the 2016 Democrat nomination process leaving many Sanders supporters feeling disgruntled.
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How many Beto Orourke Hell Yes We’re Going To Take Your Ar-15 Shirt supporters in these swing states ended up voting for Trump, voting for a third-party candidate, or not voting at all? I wish I had numbers for this, because I suspect it’s at least as many as those tiny margins of victory. Would a brokered convention cause even more disgruntlement? Seems doubtful to me. And yet this is essentially what you’re claiming—that a brokered convention will cause even more Sanders supporters to not vote for the Democrat president in the general election. There are a lot of thoughts and opinions here, but I’m not seeing how they support the thesis that a brokered convention will ruin Democrats 2020 chances are you sure that’s the thesis you want to have your mind changed about or is it something else?
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Yeah, my underlying assumption is that a convention in which Beto Orourke Hell Yes We’re Going To Take Your Ar-15 Shirt has only a plurality would lead to disaster– barring his ascendence to the nominee. Maybe it’s how likely/unlikely the DNC would allow for this? Ok, but even if Bernie were to get the plurality of the votes, and there was a brokered convention, how does that mean either Bernie or another Democratic nominee would lose in the 2020 election? I disagree. Polls told us by far that Hillary would win 2016. And early polls are even less reliable, they told us Jeb would win Republican, then that Ben Carson would win Republican, both of those candidates crashed hard And personally I have seen a large amount of former Bernie fans going to Yang or Pete or Tulsi online. That’s anecdotal evidence, but still Edi: To add to that, in 2016 the options were basically just Hillary, a universal symbol for corruption at this point, and Bernie.